but LLMs do represent a significant technological leap forward. i also share the skepticism that we haven’t “cracked AGI” and that a lot of these products are dumb. i think another comment made a better analogy to the dotcom bubble.

ETA: i’ve been working in ML engineering since 2019, so i can sometimes forget most people didn’t even hear about this hype train until ChatGPT, but i assure you inference hardware and dumb products were picking up steam even then (Tesla FSD being a classic example).

i know it’s popular to be very dismissive, but a lot of “AI” has already been integrated into normal workflows. AI autocomplete in development text editors, software keyboards, and question asking bots isn’t going away. speech-to-text, “smart eraser”, subject classification, signal processing kernels like DLSS and frame generation, and so many more will be with us and improving for a long time. Transformers, machine learning optimized chips, and other ML fields are going to be with us for a long time. the comparison to NFTs is either angst or misunderstanding.