That said, Forrester’s research does predict that AI and other automation tech, like physical robots, will see a hefty six percent of jobs replaced by 2030, amounting to some 10.4 million roles.
It’s unclear from context who Forrester is or what they studied. But I’d be interested to learn if this supports that AI output replaces the 6 %, or if the economy will contract 6 %.
My cynical guess would be that the study is more based on current employment trends, rather than actual economic viability. Meaning the 6% will be the 2030 size of the bubble of tech bros still trying to find a product-market fit at the expense of VC money.
If anyone manages to figure out what that study is, I’d welcome a link or doi.
Having read it, there is no study. It’s a prediction of undisclosed methodology, and it’s unknown and obfuscated where their number of 6,1 % comes from.
I’d assume the whole report is an educated (futurism) guess, and I don’t have the track record of how good Forrester is at those.
The full report is a $1500 product, so I’m afraid I won’t be reading it.
It’s unclear from context who Forrester is or what they studied. But I’d be interested to learn if this supports that AI output replaces the 6 %, or if the economy will contract 6 %.
My cynical guess would be that the study is more based on current employment trends, rather than actual economic viability. Meaning the 6% will be the 2030 size of the bubble of tech bros still trying to find a product-market fit at the expense of VC money.
If anyone manages to figure out what that study is, I’d welcome a link or doi.
https://investor.forrester.com/news-releases/news-release-details/forrester-ai-led-job-disruption-will-escalate-while-fears-job
Thank you!
Having read it, there is no study. It’s a prediction of undisclosed methodology, and it’s unknown and obfuscated where their number of 6,1 % comes from.
I’d assume the whole report is an educated (futurism) guess, and I don’t have the track record of how good Forrester is at those.
The full report is a $1500 product, so I’m afraid I won’t be reading it.