• Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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    10 days ago

    In a population of 400 people, 1 person is shot every day? So, by the end of one year, the population is down to 35 people?

    If we extrapolate to the US population, we end up with 900,000 people murdered per day, or about 330 million people per year. That doesn’t seem quite right.

      • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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        10 days ago

        Fair enough. So, at the end of the first year, there are at least 365 bullet wounds among 400 people? Every year, 330 million Americans are treated for bullet holes?

        The math suggests I should be surviving a gunshot wound every 16 months or so. That doesn’t seem to match my life experience.

        • BlueMagma@sh.itjust.works
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          10 days ago

          Some people get shot more often than others, mainly those living in poverty because they are forced to live in bad places, also most of them are black and shot by the police frequently

          • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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            10 days ago

            I’m more concerned about the lack of basic arithmetic literacy at this point. There would probably be a fair bit less poverty with a broader understanding of numbers.

            • BlueMagma@sh.itjust.works
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              10 days ago

              Maybe, I’m not sure what would happen if literacy and math skills rose globally.

              After thinking about it for 30s (so my point is not very thought out), I think it would impact poverty, but not for the reason you think, I expect people would vote differently, and that would have an impact on poverty. I don’t think it would reduce poverty because people would spend more wisely, poverty imo is not a lack of management, it is a vicious circle you can’t easily escape.

              • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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                10 days ago

                I think it would impact poverty, but not for the reason you think, I expect people would vote differently, and that would have an impact on poverty.

                That’s actually exactly what I think. A much greater focus on facts and figures. A whole lot less emphasis on feels.

          • doingthestuff@lemy.lol
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            10 days ago

            What is the rate of a black person being shot by police vs a black person being shot by other black people?

        • stray@pawb.social
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          10 days ago

          I looked up an actual statistic and it was way fewer than 1/400, so yeah. Though I do think the point about not everyone having the same experience bears thinking on, regardless of the screenshot’s accuracy.

          • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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            10 days ago

            Way fewer is a bit of an understatement. They are off by 5 orders of magnitude.

            It’s roughly 1 in 10,440,000.

            • stray@pawb.social
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              10 days ago

              The number I got was >200 daily gunshot wounds out of a population of 340 000 000 in the US.

    • SparroHawc@lemmy.zip
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      10 days ago

      The actual statistic is more like one person out of the 400 getting shot every seven years.

      Which is still pretty sobering.

      • JillyB@beehaw.org
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        10 days ago

        It kind of is. The point of the analogy is to make the big numbers easier to grasp. If it’s just wrong, then are the other numbers even close?

      • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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        10 days ago

        Are you sure? Based on their argument, I’d say “Mathematical Literacy” is the only priority we should have right now.

        • Hawk@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          10 days ago

          I’d say this shows exactly what’s wrong. People discussing the details (although important details), but the real issues are ignored, almost like the mistakes are made on purpose to sow discord

      • AeonFelis@lemmy.world
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        10 days ago

        The math is a pretty big point, seeing how the post focuses on how few trans people there are compared to the other mentioned groups (the figure for “people shot” is only 1 - but the post claims it happens every day)