I don’t think people perceived trump as moderate, people perceived him as “one of us”. That’s not the same thing (though interesting psychological research shows that most trump supporters probably desperately want to see themselves as average and moderate).
Mamdani was unapologetic, leading to support from the left, but he’s also charismatic. So he almost certainly captured the obama-trump vote by virtue of talking good and looking good.
I think you’re right that there are multiple dimensions to attracting these fence-sitters. But it is also true that voters generally express a desire for a more “moderate” candidate, and that they perceived Trump to be more moderate than Harris, despite all evidence.
Of course what they mean when they say these things on surveys is open to interpretation.
I don’t think people perceived trump as moderate, people perceived him as “one of us”. That’s not the same thing (though interesting psychological research shows that most trump supporters probably desperately want to see themselves as average and moderate).
Mamdani was unapologetic, leading to support from the left, but he’s also charismatic. So he almost certainly captured the obama-trump vote by virtue of talking good and looking good.
I think you’re right that there are multiple dimensions to attracting these fence-sitters. But it is also true that voters generally express a desire for a more “moderate” candidate, and that they perceived Trump to be more moderate than Harris, despite all evidence.
Of course what they mean when they say these things on surveys is open to interpretation.