My pet theory about why Anthropic and Open AI are pushing for a “pause” is because they are trying to angle for a government bailout before their bubbles pop.
My pet theory about why Anthropic and Open AI are pushing for a “pause” is because they are trying to angle for a government bailout before their bubbles pop.
If there’s an assertion that a super intelligence is about to emerge, the evidence for that assertion just isn’t available to the public.
Like you say, if someone was developing a time machine, and the only evidence of their progress was their ability to transmit a message to the future via email, you would conclude that time travel does not exist.
Bold claims require testable evidence and presently there isn’t any.