NBC News’ Decision Desk has characterized the Alaska Senate race as likely Democratic. GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan currently trails Peltola, with both under the 50% mark.

Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is likely to win Alaska’s Senate race, according to an NBC News Decision Desk analysis, as vote-counting continues in the state.

Peltola has expanded her narrow lead over Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan with each new batch of votes reported this week. A “likely” characterization indicates that the NBC News Decision Desk has at least 95% confidence that Peltola will win the race.

If Peltola wins, Democrats will have a 56-44 majority in the Senate next year.

  • firebyte@lemmy.world
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    7 hours ago

    Conceding an election is just a polite convention. All votes still need to be counted.

    With Alaska’s ranked choice voting, once they start counting preferences (second, third choice) there’s potential for those numbers to change dramatically.