I’m talking about the airport closures in Denmark, Poland, and Estonia due to unaccounted for drones in the airspace. Those have been the source of tension in the region.

The front line in Ukraine has had manpower issues, so it does not need to be “boots on the ground” to be a source of extra tension to spark a wider broader conflict. My fear is that it could spiral in a broader drone war involving Poland, Estonia, Denmark, etc. As it is drones that can inflict the most amount of damage and chaos, without the meat grinder and manpower issues plauging the front line. The fear is great enough that it’s a cause for concern that I can no longer be assured that European airports will be operational for tourists if Polymarket has a 1 in 7 chance of the airports shuttering for another drone incident by the end of 2025.

High Cost Of Living (HCOL)