As they say in poker, if you can’t spot the fish at the table, it’s you.
Testing, please ignore
You can’t tell me what to do!
These “bet on anything” sites know people with insider info cheat, and don’t care.
The people running the sites take a cut from the other people getting richer.
The real question is who the fuck is betting against that? What a weirdly degenerate thing to bet on without insider info
Maybe there’s people indirectly bribing trump&co by putting in bets against it ahead of time?
It certainly is heinous. I’m assuming a bunch of people had running bets that Iran wouldn’t be bombed inside a certain time period.
The crazier thing is that other bettors know people with inside info are cheating and don’t care.
Thé Guy above ypu made a good argument, that a great way to bribe making it look like a bet.
Oh ya because pulling off a bribe right now is a real operation.
I dunno, is there only one action allowed at the same time ? I mean the world isn’t linear, things can happen at the same time.
Sure you could just hand him a gold sword on international tv.
But what if we…
I dont’ understand what you are saying. Is it some kind of North American reference ?
They.
Don’t.
Prosecute.
Bribery.
meh. I’d posit this is a bunch of folks on the edges seeing what’s happening, seeing the grift factory that the admin is, and getting in themselves on a lil something before the whole thing crashes to earth.
Yeah good theory too. The strange thing is someone betting against a strike in Iran. Do people bet constantly on things like that ?
dunno. I don’t understand these markets. perhaps there is a market for people who vote against things happening writ-large - like, i bet tomorrow godzilla won’t attack, anyone taking?
it’s beyond me. as is the vast majority of gambling, which I’ve seen first hand wreck lives and destroy families. ordinary, sensible people, computer nerds and engineers even, suddenly thinking they have some way of making money off some insight.
I fundamentally do not understand any of it. There are certainly grifters and rubes tho.
Same I don’t get gambling…
Maybe it’s the defense industry insuring against peaceful years.
Oh, they would definitely care, it’s costing them money after all.
If they cared, they’d stop betting.
I mean, I’m sure there’s insider betting and all, but I don’t think you need inside information to predict the USA will bomb a school in Iran…
edit: gotta capitalize
I’d wager
Oh really
insider trading about inside trading?
It’s insider trading all the way down
WRONG WRONG WRONG
There are laws and enforcement, but only for working class people and well-off Democrats.
The only winning move is not to play.
At least someone gets it.
This is just like gambling on sports when you know that the players are also betting. It’s insane.
I’d say it is much worse than that, but an apt analogy.
It is much worse - the fucking players already know the outcome for a particular play.
Would you like to play a game?
How about a nice game of chess.
I bet I’d lose that game of chess.
The house always wins.
LOL… the orange pedophile rapist is taking open bribes with his eCoin and other scams…
Betting based on classified intelligence is like coffee money
These are probably him giving bribes to others, right? He gets to essentially anonymously give someone money without having to actually spend any of his own money
No, he took Billions from people who had to know there was no economic value to his eCoin.
All that money went directly to trump… now they get whatever they asked for
I think skua is saying that trump can give someone the classified intelligence and then the person can make the bet and collect the winnings without trump having to pay them himself.
Exactly this, yes
Aren’t all these bets made of a blockchain? Aren’t these transactions traceable from wallet to wallet?
There’s a bunch of ways to prevent blockchain tracing now. It’s much more likely that you’ll be identified by your internet connection or web browsing.
Regardless of the bet, there are ALWAYS insiders… at the least the house.
The house always wins
This also applies to the stock market, USAs favorite casino
Who’s “the house” for the stock market? The FED
About 4-5 hours (IIRC) before, the massive drop-off in bar activity around the pentagon made it obvious something was happening imo. But not sure what evidence was 6 hours before (bar activity was normal at the time I think).
Can we like… Sue, over this? This has to be illegal, right?
I get that I sound like a whiny nerd saying ‘BuT ThEy Can’T DO tHaT!’ But let’s be honest legality is this administration’s weakpoint
They aren’t supposed to, but many do anyway. It’s all rotten through and through
Got to prove it first and unfortunately I think that would be very difficult without more to cause a proper investigation.
Can I place a bet that we’ll find proof of this? And a parlay bet that nothing will come of it?
monitor things that the us gov has control over for large sudden bets
copy those bets
money
There’s a reason Trump brought attention to only insider stock trading at the State of the Union. They’re 100% playing the prediction betting market.
