There are plenty of reasons to believe that Democrats are headed toward a blue wave. Democrats are turning out in record numbers in primary contests even in “safe” races. They continue to over-perform in special elections, even flipping the state legislative seat that includes Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate.

Added to that, the war in Iran is already causing Trump to crater with groups of voters that had boosted him to reelection such as Latino voters. And most major pollsters show that voters would overwhelmingly vote for a generic Democrat for Congress compared to a generic Republican.

But one of the biggest indicators of an impending Democratic win come November is the number of Republicans in the House of Representatives not running for reelection.

  • Blackout@fedia.io
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    4 hours ago

    Liberal Democrats or Conservative Democrats?cause we have too much of the latter.

  • TheDemonBuer@lemmy.world
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    4 hours ago

    The Republican party has gone completely bat-shit insane, and because of our de facto two party system that leaves the Democrats as our only real hope. A scary prospect, but that’s where we are. If the Democrats are going to save us, they have to humble themselves enough to learn the right lessons from their mistakes and make the right adjustments. That’s easier said than done, for sure, but that’s our best hope.

    At least, that’s our best hope at the Federal level, but maybe we should stop looking to the Federal government as much and focus on our state governments more. I honestly think a lot more can be done at the state level and state representatives represent far fewer people than federal representatives, so there’s a better chance your state representative will listen to you.

    • Jack@lemmy.ca
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      4 hours ago

      The UK also has a FPTP voting system, and currently the 5th biggest party (Reform) is leading the polls, and the 8th biggest party (Greens) is 2nd: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2026

      If people start voting for non-genocidal parties, you could get a decent government - maybe not this election, but possibly the next. If you keep voting for evil, even the lesser evil, everything just keeps getting more and more evil after every election.

      • HermitBee@feddit.uk
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        4 hours ago

        Yeah, and our system is nothing to be remotely proud of. It’s a fucking miracle that Reform and the Greens even have a look-in, and is entirely indicative of the two main parties completely shitting the bed. It’ll be interesting to see what happens when there’s a general election.

  • ExLisper@lemmy.curiana.net
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    6 hours ago

    I wonder if Republicans even care. They are trying to implement ein Volk, ein Reich, ein Führer type system through systematic re-interpretation of Constitution by the Supreme Court. They are pretty much there with Trump having absolute immunity, withholding funds and declaring wars whenever he wants. So I think the question is if they are on tack to weaken Congress so much it will be irrelevant by the time Democrats take over?

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    10 hours ago

    AIPAC checks will start flowing to dem centrist coffers again, finally! We did it!

  • altphoto@lemmy.today
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    11 hours ago

    This is all a big misinformation campaign to get us to not vote since its all good now. Or its good news. Either way I’m still voting.

  • minorkeys@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    Selfish pricks who made a mess and now leave to let others clean up the mess. Dems will spend their entire time in power fixing shit just to have Americans elect Republicans when the goose is fat again.

    • stickly@lemmy.world
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      6 hours ago

      “Made a mess” is bullshit phrasing. These fuckers were complicit in the smash and grab looting of America for decades.

    • A_norny_mousse@piefed.zip
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      11 hours ago

      Dems will spend their entire time in power fixing shit

      I’m more afraid that they won’t fix some things because they’re not in the public eye so much. And so the country slides deeper into billionaire-induced “austerity”.

      But in any case: the mess won’t be easy to fix. 4 years won’t be enough. The Republican party has been eager to take over the country (as in: push out the Democrats) for a long time, they won’t give up.

      And even if Dems somehow manage to fix the education system, it will be 10 more years before the first people to benefit from it are allowed to vote.

      The success of Trump is built on decades of weakening the system.

      But who knows, maybe the US will experience a shift towards social security, taxing the rich etc. First order: put a proper leash on lobbyism, party donations, aka legal corruption.

      In any case: It’s always easier to fuck something up than to fix it.

  • daannii@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    Yeah but I bet a lot of reds wearing blue cloaks are going to try to step in for easy seats.

    Be vigilant people!

    • Ryanmiller70@lemmy.zip
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      12 hours ago

      I still haven’t forgotten in 2024 a Dem running for some government position literally advertised themselves as an old school conservative. Like dude that’s not how you drive out Dem voter s for your side and the MAGA base here definitely won’t support conservative light when the other side is running people like Josh Hawley.

    • I_Jedi@lemmy.today
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      14 hours ago

      I had to vote in favor of nuking Iran. Nothing I could do. The whole voting system in Congress is bugged, man. STUPID!

    • FenrirIII@lemmy.world
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      They won’t listen to the people. They’ll keep their losing talking points. Organized opposition only works if they don’t have to actually govern

    • A_norny_mousse@piefed.zip
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      11 hours ago

      For 12 years, being a bullshit-spouting conservative in the public space was more than halfway to a golden ticket. Maybe that time is coming to an end now.

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    15 hours ago

    One of the reasons is we’re a year deep into “fight everywhere”.

    The DNC has been giving all the money stolen from state parties via the “victory fund” Hillary started a decade ago, back to the state parties.

    Allowing them to operate at campaign staffing levels when normally that’s just a couple months every other year.

    If you understand what the DNC has been doing since they gave neoliberals the boot, none of this is surprising.

    We’re most likely going to see FDR still president right after trump.

      • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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        4 hours ago

        but the Dems tend to let me down so much…

        I’ve been bitching about “the Dems” since elementary school when they defended Bill Clinton for lying under oath…

        A year ago was really the first time we pried the party back from neoliberals in all those 30 years, because Obama just ignored it instead of appointing chairs that agreed with him.

        I’ll never be blindly optimistic about anything but as fucked as America is today, this is the most hopeful I’ve ever been for the country on a 10 year timeline.

        We just ain’t thru the worst yet.

    • cøre@leminal.space
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      13 hours ago

      They know the bill is coming due and fast, and they don’t want to be holding the bag when shit hits the fan.

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    @MicroWave Trump tried before to illegally overturn an election that he lost. He knows that he cannot, under any circumstances, lose this one.

    Whatever you think, do not be misled to believe that MAGA and the Republicans are turning on him. All the polls indicate that’s not true! Still 40% approve!

    Trump will do ANYTHING to make sure that Democrats do not gain control of Congress. He’s laying the groundwork right now and he has lots of help!